Survival of the fittest.
You've spent the last 15 years of your life learning and perfecting your real estate knowledge only to have your world come crashing down around you.
More than three score of mortgage lenders closed their doors.
Your local MLS has a nine month supply of listing.
No thinking buyer will pay $400,000.00 for a new house and then pay taxes on the $80,000.00 rebate. (Despite the fact that you put $20,000.00 down and financed $380,000.00, the $80,000.00 rebate is taxable income not borrowed money. If you buy the house you put out $20,000.00 but you get back $80,000.00! Then you pay the IRS $28,000.00 for a net cash gain of $32,000.00 but you owe $380,000.00 on a house you could net about $291,000.00 out of. Ya, buy a house pocket $32,000.00 and lose $57,000.00 in the closing room!)
The discount brokers are offering "full service" for nearly nothing. You don't believe them but a lot of sellers do. Who can blame the sellers, their house has deprecated and you, the man that sold it to them want 6 or 7% of what's left to resell it! To them you just added insult to injury!
One in every 438 houses is in foreclosure!
Some people really do have to sell!
Your broker has reduced your share of the commission to 50% or less and is talking about a desk fee each month. He said something about the broke being put back in broker.
You talked to an employment agency about other work and they tell you there are 5,000 other REALTORS® looking for work.
When the office closes you stop at a bar to cloud your mind and run into the Executive Vice President of your local Board finishing his liquid lunch, he's been there since noon. You tell him what they said about the 5,000 he said it sounded about right. You comment about that being a third of the local Board, he says remember the 3,000 that are not renewing their licences, and the 1,500 who are moving in with their parents or kids. You tentatively say that leaves at least half the Board making a living? He says no most of the remaining are professional's spouses, they never have or had to make a living. You ask who's surviving, he says the same 20% that use to make a really great living. He ask the bar tender, the one with the "R" pin on his collar to call him a cab. You say don't I'll take you home, quickly adding for no more that the cab would cost and you don't have to tip me we're friends. You don't order a drink after all, you might need that $3.50 for a gallon of gas.
You take your "friend" home and take the $60.00 he has left.
You rush home, the kids will be a sleep and your wife can take your mind off your troubles and make you feel good all at the same time. She tells you about her head ack as you come in the door. She's been shopping $200.00 for half a grocery cart and the last $20.00 she had with her only bought a quarter of a tank of gas! You give her the $60.00 and your $40.00 lunch and drinking money. You go to take a shower, she says make it short the electric bill is outrageous, not to mention the water bill.
What's a real estate expert to do?
Buy and buy some more! This is a great time to invest! Really!
You want to argue with me? After agreeing with everything I wrote so far?
You're going to tell me that houses are deprecating! You say you can't make a profit in a down market!
You're thinking like a house salesman! Investment salesman know that you make the profit on the purchase not the sale! You collect the profit on the sale, when the property was bought right the profit is already there.
As a REALTOR® you've spent you whole career brokering in the traditional way, working for commissions. Unless you're in that top 20% you may not be around to see the recovery doing thing traditionally.
Form a partnership wit a client or two with money. You're then going to make low ball offers on a lot of properties. You're going to make subject to offers on properties in foreclosure and on vacant listing. What about due on sale? What about it? What lender is going to bother you when the loan is now up to date and the payments are made on time? They really don't need another REO or bad loan. Just don't hide what you're doing, that could be a crime. Put each property in a separate LLC and charge you money partner/s a small management fee, rent the place and wait. Then do it again, and again.
Your not so aggressive collages are going to dislike you so what they can't afford to buy lunch anyway! They'll say something about here comes Bill with another damn low offer! The smatter ones will call you at least they can show their client an offer! So what if most get turned down, some will be accepted. Your job is to offer people in trouble an out, if they don't need to accept your offer they won't, you're not going to be offended, there are plenty of other opportunities. A 9 month supply of opportunities!
Buying low and selling high is the second oldest profession. When you represent an investor or your self buying low is when you make your profit. Waiting for an investment to grow/appreciate is farming.
Traditional REALTOR® thinking is a big commission and move or to the next, Investors work for a little bit now, a bit more next month, and a little bit more down the road. Collectively little bits add up! A sears of little bits is what they call an annuity.
There are very few areas where the population is decreasing, and every time some one gives up a house they become a renter, every renter is an improvement in that market. The worst of the fully indexed ARM is still at a historically good rate. There may be some adjustment in who lives where but there is a tenant for almost every property, you haven't seen tent city popping up, have you?
Improve your opportunities read: Beat The Sharks and Net Offers A Better Real Estate Option my book "Flipping For Fun And Profit" would help but read the free articles first. This is not your father's real estate, but it might have been your Grandfathers! Need more help I work by the hour, the half day, the day, and the week, I can finance you or your clients in all 50 states if necessary (you don't need financing even at my low fees if you can avoid it)!
Two last pieces of advice:
When you're being creative be extremely honest!
When all else fails find someone with a problem and shovel it!
Rudyard Kipling said it thus:
"If you can keep your head when all about you
Are losing theirs and blaming it on you,
If you can trust yourself when all men doubt you,
But make allowance for their doubting too;
If you can wait and not be tired by waiting,
Or being lied about, don't deal in lies,
Or being hated, don't give way to hating,
And yet don't look too good, nor talk too wise:
If you can dream - and not make dreams your master;
If you can think - and not make thoughts your aim;
If you can meet with Triumph and Disaster
And treat those two impostors just the same;
If you can bear to hear the truth you've spoken
Twisted by knaves to make a trap for fools,
Or watch the things you gave your life to broken,
And stoop and build 'em up with wornout tools:
If you can make one heap of all your winnings
And risk it on one turn of pitch-and-toss,
And lose, and start again at your beginnings
And never breathe a word about your loss;
If you can force your heart and nerve and sinew
To serve your turn long after they are gone,
And so hold on when there is nothing in you
Except the Will which says to them: 'Hold on!'
If you can talk with crowds and keep your virtue,
Or walk with kings - nor lose the common touch,
If neither foes nor loving friends can hurt you,
If all men count with you, but none too much;
If you can fill the unforgiving minute
With sixty seconds' worth of distance run -
Yours is the Earth and everything that's in it,
And - which is more - you'll be a Man my son!"
You see I know This too shall pass!
Bill
William J Archambault Jr
The Real Estate Investment Institute
http://www.reii.org
http://www.williamjarchambaultjr.com
I've been thinking of Al Tennyson's Charge of the Light Brigade and how we'll feel when this all works out. Think about it.
"Cannon to right of them,
Cannon to left of them,
Cannon behind them
Volley'd and thunder'd;
Storm'd at with shot and shell,
While horse and hero fell,
They that had fought so well
Came thro' the jaws of Death
Back from the mouth of Hell,
All that was left of them,
Left of six hundred.
When can their glory fade?
O the wild charge they made!
All the world wondered.
Honor the charge they made,
Honor the Light Brigade,
Noble six hundred."
Bill
William J Archambault Jr
The Real Estate Investment Institute
wja@reii.org 832-259-7078 or 702-516-1569
From my past: GRI 1975, FLI 1974, Catalyst from a client 1974 an agent that makes things happen, REII, The Real Estate Investment Institute 1995.

©William J Archambault Jr ©The Real Estate Investment Institute ©REII